Oil falls on prospect that Libya crude will return

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CHRIS KAHN,AP Energy Writers

NEW YORK (AP) — International oil prices fell Monday on the prospect that exports from Libya will return to the market at a time of economic weakness.

It will be at least several months before Libya is producing enough oil to start exporting it again. But any extra shipments could lower the price of gasoline, which has already come down more than 40 cents a gallon from its peak in May.

Brent crude, which is used to price many international oil varieties, dropped 92 cents to $107.70 per barrel in London. U.S. benchmark crude fell briefly, then rose $1.01 to $83.42 per barrel in New York as traders used a financial strategy to take profits.

Gasoline already has dropped 41 cents from a peak of $3.98 a gallon on May 5 to $3.57 Monday. That’s because a slowdown in the global economy has cut demand for crude and fuel. Pump prices could fall as low as $3.25 per gallon by the middle of September.

Now, traders are also considering the possibility that Libya’s six-month rebellion could return more oil to markets. Over the weekend, rebels overran forces loyal to Moammar Gadhafi and claimed control of much of the nation’s capital. Gadhafi’s whereabouts were unknown and two of his sons were captured by rebels.

The ouster of Gadhafi, who ruled the North African nation for four decades, would clear the way for a new government and a return to oil production, which stopped during the conflict.

Libya sits on the largest oil reserves in Africa. Before the uprising, it was the world’s 12th largest exporter, delivering more than 1.5 million barrels per day to mostly European markets.

How quickly its production can be restart depends on a number of factors, including how fast the rebels form a government and how soon international oil companies move workers back to Libya. It will also take time for the nation’s oil fields and pipelines to come up to full speed.

Technicians from Italian oil company Eni were already working to restart oil and natural gas production in Libya, according Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini. Eni is the largest foreign producer in the country.

Eni declined to elaborate on the comments, but noted that restarting production could take some time — a couple months for natural gas and even a year for oil.

Repsol, another big producer in Libya, was not reachable for comment.

In other Nymex trading for September contracts, heating oil lost less than a penny to $2.8954 per gallon and gasoline futures dropped 3.67 cents to $2.8045 per gallon. Natural gas fell 4.9 cents to $3.891 per 1,000 cubic feet.


Colleen Barry in Milan, Italy, Alex Kennedy in Singapore and Alan Clendenning in Madrid contributed to this report.

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